Boston Col
W-L: ( 5-26) PR = 92.8798Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Holy Cross PAT H (23-11, 94.1) 71-72 1106 A New Hamp. AE ( 9-20, 92.4) 69-57 1109 A UMass Lowell AE ( 6-21, 91.8) 82-53 1112 A Rider MAAC ( 7-21, 91.3) 92-52 1115 H Providence BE (14-19, 94.2) 61-70 1119 H Harvard IVY (20-12, 95.2) 65-72 1122 H Mass MA (24- 7, 94.8) 52-61 1125 A Merrimack MAAC (18-14, 92.9) 77-72 1128 H Jam Madison SB (26- 9, 95.6) 53-73 1129 H Murray St MV (29- 4, 95.7) 77-82 1203 H Quinnipiac MAAC (27- 7, 94.3) 49-76 1207 H Virginia ACC (21-13, 96.1) 55-81 1209 H Bryant AE (17-11, 93.5) 71-80 1219 H Northeastern CA ( 8-21, 92.1) 67-73 1229 H No Carolina ACC (28- 8, 97.4) 39-90 101 H Duke ACC (27- 9, 97.6) 49-** 104 H Pittsburgh ACC ( 7-22, 93.0) 61-64 108 H Notre Dame ACC (25-11, 97.1) 60-94 111 H Va Tech ACC (23-10, 96.3) 56-78 115 H Stanford ACC (20-14, 95.7) 52-77 118 H California ACC (22-14, 95.9) 58-73 124 H Louisville ACC (29- 8, 97.5) 56-85 129 H NC State ACC (21-11, 96.6) 84-** 201 H Georgia Tech ACC (14-19, 95.2) 60-70 205 H Syracuse ACC (22-10, 96.5) 59-93 208 H Clemson ACC (21-12, 96.1) 59-83 212 H Florida St ACC (11-20, 94.8) 76-85 215 H Miami (Fl) ACC (18-15, 95.6) 70-82 219 A SMU ACC ( 9-21, 93.8) 77-59 222 H Wake Forest ACC (14-18, 94.2) 65-79 301 H Syracuse ACC (22-10, 96.5) 65-90
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Holy Cross 71-72 -1 -1 0.21
1106 A New Hamp. 69-57 12 0 1.56
1109 A UMass Lowell 82-53 29 1 0.89
1112 A Rider 92-52 40 2 0.44
1115 H Providence 61-70 -9 -1 -0.66
1119 H Harvard 65-72 -7 -2 0.00
1122 H Mass 52-61 -9 -2 -0.05
1125 A Merrimack 77-72 5 0 + 2.03
1128 H Jam Madison 53-73 -20 -3 0.00
1129 H Murray St 77-82 -5 -3 0.00
1203 H Quinnipiac 49-76 -27 -1 -0.54
1207 H Virginia 55-81 -26 -3 0.00
1209 H Bryant 71-80 -9 -1 -1.35
1219 H Northeastern 67-73 -6 1 - -2.79
1229 H No Carolina 39-90 -51 -5 0.00
101 H Duke 49-** -51 -5 0.00
104 H Pittsburgh 61-64 -3 0 -1.93
108 H Notre Dame 60-94 -34 -4 0.00
111 H Va Tech 56-78 -22 -3 0.00
115 H Stanford 52-77 -25 -3 0.00
118 H California 58-73 -15 -3 0.00
124 H Louisville 56-85 -29 -5 0.00
129 H NC State 84-** -22 -4 0.00
201 H Georgia Tech 60-70 -10 -2 0.00
205 H Syracuse 59-93 -34 -4 0.00
208 H Clemson 59-83 -24 -3 0.00
212 H Florida St 76-85 -9 -2 -0.06
215 H Miami (Fl) 70-82 -12 -3 0.00
219 A SMU 77-59 18 -1 + 2.89
222 H Wake Forest 65-79 -14 -1 -0.65
301 H Syracuse 65-90 -25 -4 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1219 H Northeastern 67-73 -6 1 - -2.79 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1125 A Merrimack 77-72 5 0 + 2.03 219 A SMU 77-59 18 -1 + 2.89 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Holy Cross (23-11, 94.1) 71-72 -5.80 5.16 -0.01 0.98 -2.84
3 A New Hamp. ( 9-20, 92.4) 69-57 -7.47 3.49 0.01 0.98 6.86
3 A UMass Lowell ( 6-21, 91.8) 82-53 -8.14 2.82 0.01 0.98 5.55
3 A Rider ( 7-21, 91.3) 92-52 -8.59 2.37 0.01 0.98 4.66
3 H Providence (14-19, 94.2) 61-70 -5.67 5.29 -0.01 0.98 -2.78
3 H Harvard (20-12, 95.2) 65-72 -4.73 6.23 -0.01 0.98 -2.32
3 H Mass (24- 7, 94.8) 52-61 -5.06 5.90 -0.01 0.98 -2.48
3 A Merrimack (18-14, 92.9) 77-72 -7.00 3.96 0.01 0.98 7.78
3 H Jam Madison (26- 9, 95.6) 53-73 -4.25 6.71 -0.01 0.98 -2.09
3 H Murray St (29- 4, 95.7) 77-82 -4.22 6.74 -0.01 0.98 -2.07
3 H Quinnipiac (27- 7, 94.3) 49-76 -5.55 5.41 -0.01 0.98 -2.72
3 H Virginia (21-13, 96.1) 55-81 -3.77 7.19 -0.01 0.98 -1.85
3 H Bryant (17-11, 93.5) 71-80 -6.36 4.60 -0.01 0.98 -3.12
3 H Northeastern ( 8-21, 92.1) 67-73 -7.80 3.16 -0.01 0.98 -3.82
3 H No Carolina (28- 8, 97.4) 39-90 -2.48 8.48 -0.01 0.98 -1.22
3 H Duke (27- 9, 97.6) 49-** -2.30 8.66 -0.01 0.98 -1.13
3 H Pittsburgh ( 7-22, 93.0) 61-64 -6.94 4.02 -0.01 0.98 -3.40
3 H Notre Dame (25-11, 97.1) 60-94 -2.80 8.16 -0.01 0.98 -1.37
3 H Va Tech (23-10, 96.3) 56-78 -3.62 7.34 -0.01 0.98 -1.78
3 H Stanford (20-14, 95.7) 52-77 -4.17 6.79 -0.01 0.98 -2.05
3 H California (22-14, 95.9) 58-73 -3.99 6.97 -0.01 0.98 -1.96
3 H Louisville (29- 8, 97.5) 56-85 -2.37 8.59 -0.01 0.98 -1.17
3 H NC State (21-11, 96.6) 84-** -3.27 7.69 -0.01 0.98 -1.61
3 H Georgia Tech (14-19, 95.2) 60-70 -4.73 6.23 -0.01 0.98 -2.32
3 H Syracuse (22-10, 96.5) 59-93 -3.41 7.55 -0.01 0.98 -1.67
3 H Clemson (21-12, 96.1) 59-83 -3.82 7.14 -0.01 0.98 -1.87
3 H Florida St (11-20, 94.8) 76-85 -5.07 5.89 -0.01 0.98 -2.49
3 H Miami (Fl) (18-15, 95.6) 70-82 -4.27 6.69 -0.01 0.98 -2.10
3 A SMU ( 9-21, 93.8) 77-59 -6.14 4.82 0.01 0.98 9.46
3 H Wake Forest (14-18, 94.2) 65-79 -5.66 5.30 -0.01 0.98 -2.78
3 H Syracuse (22-10, 96.5) 65-90 -3.41 7.55 -0.01 0.98 -1.67
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-22.38
|
winning pts = 34.3086 losing points = -56.6896
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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